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Background: Despite effective treatments for opioid use disorder (OUD), relapse and treatment drop-out diminish their efficacy, increasing the risks of adverse outcomes, including death. Predicting important outcomes, including non-prescribed opioid use (NPOU) and treatment discontinuation among persons receiving medications for OUD (MOUD) can provide a proactive approach to these challenges. Our study uses ecological momentary assessment (EMA) and deep learning to predict momentary NPOU, medication nonadherence, and treatment retention in MOUD patients.
Methods: Study participants included adults receiving MOUD at a large outpatient treatment program. We predicted NPOU (EMA-based), medication nonadherence (Electronic Health Record [EHR]- and EMA-based), and treatment retention (EHR-based) using context-sensitive EMAs (e.g., stress, pain, social setting). We used recurrent deep learning models with 7-day sliding windows to predict the next-day outcomes, using Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC) for assessment. We employed SHapley additive ExPlanations (SHAP) to understand feature latency and importance.
Results: Participants comprised 62 adults with 14,322 observations. Model performance varied across EMA subtypes and outcomes with AUCs spanning 0.58–0.97. Recent substance use was the best performing predictor for EMA-based NPOU (AUC = 0.97). Life-contextual factors were best performers for EMA-based medication nonadherence (AUC = 0.68) and retention (AUC = 0.89), and substance use risk factors (e.g., nicotine and alcohol use) and self-reported MOUD adherence performed best for predicting EHR-based medication nonadherence (AUC = 0.79). SHAP revealed varying latencies between predictors and outcomes.
Conclusions: Findings support the effectiveness of EMA and deep learning for forecasting actionable outcomes in persons receiving MOUD. These insights will enable the development of personalized dynamic risk profiles and just-in-time adaptive interventions (JITAIs) to mitigate high-risk OUD outcomes.
Related protocols: CTN-0084-A-2
This is the Results Article for CTN-0084-A-2.
Multiple digital data sources can capture moment-to-moment information to advance a robust understanding of opioid use disorder (OUD) behavior, ultimately creating a digital phenotype for each patient. This information can lead to individualized interventions to improve treatment for OUD.
This aim of this study, CTN-0084-A-2, was to examine patient engagement with multiple digital phenotyping methods among patients receiving buprenorphine medication for OUD.
The study enrolled 65 patients receiving buprenorphine for OUD between June 2020 and January 2021 from 4 addiction medicine programs in an integrated health care delivery system in Northern California. Ecological momentary assessment (EMA), sensor data, and social media data were collected by smartphone, smartwatch, and social media platforms over a 12-week period. Primary engagement outcomes were meeting measures of minimum phone carry (=8 hours per day) and watch wear (=18 hours per day) criteria, EMA response rates, social media consent rate, and data sparsity. Descriptive analyses, bivariate, and trend tests were performed.
The participants’ average age was 37 years, 47% of them were female, and 71% of them were White. On average, participants met phone carrying criteria on 94% of study days, met watch wearing criteria on 74% of days, and wore the watch to sleep on 77% of days. The mean EMA response rate was 70%, declining from 83% to 56% from week 1 to week 12. Among participants with social media accounts, 88% of them consented to providing data; of them, 55% of Facebook, 54% of Instagram, and 57% of Twitter participants provided data. The amount of social media data available varied widely across participants. No differences by age, sex, race, or ethnicity were observed for any outcomes.
Conclusions: To our knowledge, this is the first study to capture these 3 digital data sources in this clinical population. Our findings demonstrate that patients receiving buprenorphine treatment for OUD had generally high engagement with multiple digital phenotyping data sources, but this was more limited for the social media data.
Related protocols: CTN-0084-A-2
Across the U.S., the prevalence of opioid use disorder (OUD) and the rates of opioid overdoses have risen precipitously in recent years. Several effective medications for OUD (MOUD) exist and have been shown to be life-saving. A large volume of research has identified a confluence of factors that predict attrition and continued substance use during substance use disorder treatment. However, much of this literature has examined a small set of potential moderators or mediators of outcomes in MOUD treatment and may lead to over-simplified accounts of treatment non-adherence. Digital health methodologies offer great promise for capturing intensive, longitudinal ecologically-valid data from individuals in MOUD treatment to extend our understanding of factors that impact treatment engagement and outcomes.
This paper describes the protocol (including the study design and methodological considerations) from a novel study supported by the National Drug Abuse Treatment Clinical Trials Network at the National Institute on Drug Abuse (NIDA). This study (D-TECT, CTN-0084-A-2) primarily seeks to evaluate the feasibility of collecting ecological momentary assessment (EMA), smartphone and smartwatch sensor data, and social media data among patients in outpatient MOUD treatment. It secondarily seeks to examine the utility of EMA, digital sensing, and social media data (separately and compared to one another) in predicting MOUD treatment retention, opioid use events, and medication adherence [as captured in electronic health records (EHR) and EMA data]. To our knowledge, this is the first project to include all three sources of digitally derived data (EMA, digital sensing, and social media) in understanding the clinical trajectories of patients in MOUD treatment. These multiple data streams will allow us to understand the relative and combined utility of collecting digital data from these diverse data sources. The inclusion of EHR data allows us to focus on the utility of digital health data in predicting objectively measured clinical outcomes.
Discussion: Results may be useful in elucidating novel relations between digital data sources and OUD treatment outcomes. It may also inform approaches to enhancing outcomes measurement in clinical trials by allowing for the assessment of dynamic interactions between individuals’ daily lives and their MOUD treatment response.
Related protocols: CTN-0084-A-2
The application of digital technologies to better assess, understand, and treat substance use disorders (SUDs) is a particularly promising and vibrant area of scientific research. The National Drug Abuse Treatment Clinical Trials Network (CTN), launched in 1999 by the U.S. National Institute on Drug Abuse, has supported a growing line of research that leverages digital technologies to glean new insights into SUDs and provide science-based therapeutic tools to a diverse array of persons with SUDs.
This article provides an overview of the breadth and impact of research conducted in the realm of digital health within the CTN. This work has included the CTN’s efforts to systematically embed digital screeners for SUDs into general medical settings to impact care models across the nation. This work has also included a pivotal multi-site clinical trial conducted on the CTN platform, whose data led to the very first “prescription digital therapeutic” authorized by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for the treatment of SUDs. Further CTN research includes the study of telehealth to increase capacity for science-based SUD treatment in rural and under-resourced communities. In addition, the CTN has supported an assessment of the feasibility of detecting cocaine-taking behavior via smartwatch sensing. And, the CTN has supported the conduct of clinical trials entirely online (including the recruitment of national and hard-to-reach/under-served participant samples online, with remote intervention delivery and data collection). Further, the CTN is supporting innovative work focused on the use of digital health technologies and data analytics to identify digital biomarkers and understand the clinical trajectories of individuals receiving medications for opioid use disorder (OUD).
This paper concludes by outlining the many potential future opportunities to leverage the unique national CTN research network to scale-up the science on digital health to examine optimal strategies to increase the reach of science-based SUD service delivery models both within and outside of healthcare.
Related protocols: CTN-0044, CTN-0059, CTN-0073-Ot, CTN-0076, CTN-0083, CTN-0084-A-2, CTN-0090, CTN-0095, CTN-0101, CTN-0102